The French far-right will probably achieve a historic success in the June elections to the European Parliament. This is according to a new survey by the consulting company Portland Communications, commissioned by the Politico server, according to which the results bring a worrying signal for the representatives of the centrist parties running for the EP.
France’s far-right National Association (RN), led by outgoing MEP Jordan Bardella, could win 33 percent of the vote, according to the poll. The Reconquest party, founded by Islam opponent and failed presidential candidate Éric Zemmour, would be supported by six percent of voters.
In the case of the announced result, the national association would more than double the centrist coalition Together (Ensemble), which also includes French President Emmanuel Macron’s Renewal party. According to the survey, the coalition should have only 14 percent of the vote.
The company conducted an online survey in mid-January, at a time when large-scale farmers’ protests were sweeping France; 1034 people representing a representative sample took part in the survey. The company also conducted the same survey among respondents in Italy, the Netherlands, Germany and Poland, where it found similar results on similarly large samples.
Far-right parties are expected to make significant gains everywhere except in Poland, where Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s liberal Civic Coalition is forecast to receive 35 percent of the vote. In Germany, polls predict the right-wing populist party Alternative for Germany (AfD) will win 17 percent of the vote, up from 11 percent in the 2019 European elections.